Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 55.49%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 23% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.92%) and 0-1 (7.88%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.