This fixture produced goals last season - eight in two matches - and we are predicting another open match on Saturday afternoon. Both teams have a lot of talent in the forward areas, and we can see the points being shared in an entertaining 2-2 draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 36.34%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Crystal Palace	Draw	Aston Villa
36.12%	27.55%	36.34%

Both teams to score 49.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.48%

56.52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.49%

77.51%

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.07%

29.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.97%

66.03%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.21%

29.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.13%

65.87%

Score Analysis

Crystal Palace 36.11%

Aston Villa 36.33%

Draw 27.54%

Crystal Palace	Draw	Aston Villa
1-0 @ 10.75% 2-1 @ 7.86% 2-0 @ 6.49% 3-1 @ 3.16% 3-0 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.38% Total : 36.11%	1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 8.92% 2-2 @ 4.76% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.54%	0-1 @ 10.79% 1-2 @ 7.89% 0-2 @ 6.54% 1-3 @ 3.18% 0-3 @ 2.64% 2-3 @ 1.92% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.41% Total : 36.33%