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Premier League | Gameweek 11
Nov 5, 2021 at 8pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
AV

Southampton
1 - 0
Aston Villa

Armstrong (3')
Romeu (62'), Salisu (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

El Ghazi (11'), Tuanzebe (65')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 46.34%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Southampton in this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawAston Villa
46.34%26.67%27%
Both teams to score 48.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.23%55.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.09%76.91%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.96%24.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.69%58.31%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.96%36.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.18%72.83%
Score Analysis
    Southampton 46.34%
    Aston Villa 27%
    Draw 26.66%
SouthamptonDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 12.35%
2-1 @ 8.98%
2-0 @ 8.8%
3-1 @ 4.27%
3-0 @ 4.18%
3-2 @ 2.18%
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-0 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 46.34%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 8.67%
2-2 @ 4.58%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.66%
0-1 @ 8.84%
1-2 @ 6.43%
0-2 @ 4.51%
1-3 @ 2.19%
2-3 @ 1.56%
0-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 27%

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