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Premier League | Gameweek 34
Apr 30, 2021 at 8pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
LL

Southampton
1 - 1
Leicester

Ward-Prowse (61' pen.)
Minamino (50')
Vestergaard (10')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Evans (68')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 48.66%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
SouthamptonDrawLeicester City
26.65%24.69%48.66%
Both teams to score 54.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.85%48.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.69%70.31%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.75%32.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.26%68.74%
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.17%19.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.08%51.92%
Score Analysis
    Southampton 26.65%
    Leicester City 48.65%
    Draw 24.68%
SouthamptonDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 7.24%
2-1 @ 6.63%
2-0 @ 4.1%
3-1 @ 2.5%
3-2 @ 2.02%
3-0 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 26.65%
1-1 @ 11.7%
0-0 @ 6.39%
2-2 @ 5.36%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.68%
0-1 @ 10.34%
1-2 @ 9.47%
0-2 @ 8.37%
1-3 @ 5.11%
0-3 @ 4.51%
2-3 @ 2.89%
1-4 @ 2.07%
0-4 @ 1.83%
2-4 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 48.65%

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