Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 45.33%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 27.68% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
