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Premier League | Gameweek 30
Apr 4, 2021 at 4.30pm UK
Villa Park
FL

Aston Villa
3 - 1
Fulham

Trezeguet (78', 81'), Watkins (87')
Luiz (15')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mitrovic (61')
Andersen (16'), Reid (74')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawFulham
32.89%26.91%40.2%
Both teams to score 50.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.59%54.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.22%75.78%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.05%30.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.75%67.25%
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.45%26.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.24%61.76%
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 32.89%
    Fulham 40.19%
    Draw 26.91%
Aston VillaDrawFulham
1-0 @ 9.64%
2-1 @ 7.49%
2-0 @ 5.65%
3-1 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.21%
3-2 @ 1.94%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 32.89%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 8.22%
2-2 @ 4.97%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.91%
0-1 @ 10.89%
1-2 @ 8.48%
0-2 @ 7.23%
1-3 @ 3.75%
0-3 @ 3.2%
2-3 @ 2.2%
1-4 @ 1.24%
0-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 40.19%

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