Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.