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FA Cup | Semi-Finals
Apr 18, 2021 at 6.30pm UK
Wembley Stadium
SL

Leicester
1 - 0
Southampton

Iheanacho (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Diallo (5'), Soyuncu (49'), Bednarek (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawSouthampton
40.76%24.27%34.96%
Both teams to score 60.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.52%42.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.12%64.88%
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.03%20.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.28%53.71%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.08%23.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.87%58.13%
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 40.76%
    Southampton 34.96%
    Draw 24.27%
Leicester CityDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 8.75%
1-0 @ 7.83%
2-0 @ 6.12%
3-1 @ 4.56%
3-2 @ 3.26%
3-0 @ 3.19%
4-1 @ 1.78%
4-2 @ 1.27%
4-0 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 40.76%
1-1 @ 11.2%
2-2 @ 6.26%
0-0 @ 5.01%
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.27%
1-2 @ 8.02%
0-1 @ 7.17%
0-2 @ 5.13%
1-3 @ 3.82%
2-3 @ 2.99%
0-3 @ 2.45%
1-4 @ 1.37%
2-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 34.96%

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