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Premier League | Gameweek 2
Sep 20, 2020 at 12pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
SL

Southampton
2 - 5
Spurs

Ings (32', 90' pen.)
Romeu (5'), Adams (39'), Bertrand (44'), Stephens (68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Heung-min (45+2', 47', 64', 73'), Kane (82')
Ndombele (45+1'), Doherty (79'), Lo Celso (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawTottenham Hotspur
30.53%26.26%43.21%
Both teams to score 51.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.47%52.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.81%74.19%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.38%31.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.97%68.03%
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.87%24.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.56%58.44%
Score Analysis
    Southampton 30.53%
    Tottenham Hotspur 43.2%
    Draw 26.26%
SouthamptonDrawTottenham Hotspur
1-0 @ 8.79%
2-1 @ 7.19%
2-0 @ 5.06%
3-1 @ 2.76%
3-2 @ 1.96%
3-0 @ 1.94%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 30.53%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 7.63%
2-2 @ 5.11%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 10.84%
1-2 @ 8.88%
0-2 @ 7.71%
1-3 @ 4.21%
0-3 @ 3.65%
2-3 @ 2.42%
1-4 @ 1.5%
0-4 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 43.2%


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