Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.