Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
