Premier League | Gameweek 1

Sep 12, 2020 at 3pm UK

Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace
1 - 0
Southampton

Zaha (13')
Schlupp (41'), McCarthy (58')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Walker-Peters (51')

Oriol Romeu admits Southampton need to create more for forwards

Roy Hodgson hoping Crystal Palace can keep hold of Wilfried Zaha

The Match

Match Report

It could have been worse for the visitors had referee Jonathan Jon Moss not downgraded his decision to send off Kyle Walker-Peters.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Southampton, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Crystal Palace	Draw	Southampton
30.97%	25.96%	43.07%

Both teams to score 53.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.9%

51.1%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.05%

72.95%

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.42%

30.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.18%

66.81%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.43%

23.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.36%

57.64%

Score Analysis

Crystal Palace 30.97%

Southampton 43.06%

Draw 25.95%

Crystal Palace	Draw	Southampton
1-0 @ 8.54% 2-1 @ 7.31% 2-0 @ 5.06% 3-1 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.09% 3-0 @ 2% Other @ 3.09% Total : 30.97%	1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.21% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.95%	0-1 @ 10.41% 1-2 @ 8.92% 0-2 @ 7.53% 1-3 @ 4.3% 0-3 @ 3.63% 2-3 @ 2.55% 1-4 @ 1.55% 0-4 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.96% Total : 43.06%