Premier League | Gameweek 37

Jul 19, 2020 at 2pm UK

Vitality Stadium

Bournemouth
0 - 2
Southampton

Billing (47'), Cook (78')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ings (41'), Adams (90+8')
Vestergaard (34'), Ward-Prowse (90+3')

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The Match

Match Report

Sam Surridge thought he had equalised in added time but the goal was ruled out by VAR.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Bournemouth and Southampton, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
Bournemouth	Draw	Southampton
33.35%	25.39%	41.27%

Both teams to score 55.81%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.08%

47.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.9%

70.1%

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.55%

27.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.06%

62.94%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.93%

23.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.09%

56.91%

Score Analysis

Bournemouth 33.35%

Southampton 41.27%

Draw 25.38%

Bournemouth	Draw	Southampton
1-0 @ 8.19% 2-1 @ 7.76% 2-0 @ 5.29% 3-1 @ 3.35% 3-2 @ 2.45% 3-0 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.94% Total : 33.35%	1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 6.33% 2-2 @ 5.69% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.38%	0-1 @ 9.29% 1-2 @ 8.81% 0-2 @ 6.81% 1-3 @ 4.3% 0-3 @ 3.33% 2-3 @ 2.78% 1-4 @ 1.58% 0-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.13% Total : 41.27%