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Premier League | Gameweek 37
Jul 19, 2020 at 2pm UK
Vitality Stadium
SL

Bournemouth
0 - 2
Southampton


Billing (47'), Cook (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ings (41'), Adams (90+8')
Vestergaard (34'), Ward-Prowse (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
BournemouthDrawSouthampton
33.35%25.39%41.27%
Both teams to score 55.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.08%47.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.9%70.1%
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.55%27.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.06%62.94%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.93%23.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.09%56.91%
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 33.35%
    Southampton 41.27%
    Draw 25.38%
BournemouthDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 8.19%
2-1 @ 7.76%
2-0 @ 5.29%
3-1 @ 3.35%
3-2 @ 2.45%
3-0 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 33.35%
1-1 @ 12%
0-0 @ 6.33%
2-2 @ 5.69%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 9.29%
1-2 @ 8.81%
0-2 @ 6.81%
1-3 @ 4.3%
0-3 @ 3.33%
2-3 @ 2.78%
1-4 @ 1.58%
0-4 @ 1.22%
2-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 41.27%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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