Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
