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Premier League | Gameweek 3
Sep 27, 2020 at 2pm UK
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
NL

Spurs
1 - 1
Newcastle

Moura (25')
Winks (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wilson (90+7' pen.)
Shelvey (44'), Joelinton (53'), Lewis (82'), Hayden (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 53.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 21.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Tottenham HotspurDrawNewcastle United
53.99%24.26%21.75%
Both teams to score 50.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.2%50.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.31%72.68%
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.26%18.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.89%50.11%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.98%38.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.22%74.78%
Score Analysis
    Tottenham Hotspur 53.98%
    Newcastle United 21.75%
    Draw 24.26%
Tottenham HotspurDrawNewcastle United
1-0 @ 11.92%
2-0 @ 9.99%
2-1 @ 9.66%
3-0 @ 5.58%
3-1 @ 5.39%
3-2 @ 2.61%
4-0 @ 2.34%
4-1 @ 2.26%
4-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 53.98%
1-1 @ 11.53%
0-0 @ 7.12%
2-2 @ 4.67%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 24.26%
0-1 @ 6.89%
1-2 @ 5.58%
0-2 @ 3.33%
1-3 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.51%
0-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 21.75%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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