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Premier League | Gameweek 38
May 23, 2021 at 4pm UK
London Stadium
SL

West Ham
3 - 0
Southampton

Fornals (30', 33'), Rice (86')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bednarek (48'), Diallo (67'), Salisu (73')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
West Ham UnitedDrawSouthampton
40.24%24.66%35.11%
Both teams to score 58.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.75%44.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.37%66.63%
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.02%21.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.72%55.28%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.34%24.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.82%59.18%
Score Analysis
    West Ham United 40.24%
    Southampton 35.11%
    Draw 24.65%
West Ham UnitedDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 8.71%
1-0 @ 8.21%
2-0 @ 6.22%
3-1 @ 4.4%
3-0 @ 3.14%
3-2 @ 3.08%
4-1 @ 1.67%
4-0 @ 1.19%
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 40.24%
1-1 @ 11.49%
2-2 @ 6.1%
0-0 @ 5.42%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.65%
1-2 @ 8.05%
0-1 @ 7.59%
0-2 @ 5.31%
1-3 @ 3.76%
2-3 @ 2.85%
0-3 @ 2.48%
1-4 @ 1.31%
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 35.11%

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