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Premier League | Gameweek 37
May 18, 2021 at 6pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
LL

Southampton
0 - 2
Leeds

 
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bamford (73'), Roberts (90+5')
Phillips (34'), Dallas (56'), Struijk (66')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 36.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Southampton win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawLeeds United
36.85%24.76%38.39%
Both teams to score 58.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.45%44.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.08%66.92%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.16%23.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.97%58.02%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.97%23.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.15%56.85%
Score Analysis
    Southampton 36.85%
    Leeds United 38.39%
    Draw 24.76%
SouthamptonDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 8.29%
1-0 @ 7.87%
2-0 @ 5.64%
3-1 @ 3.96%
3-2 @ 2.91%
3-0 @ 2.7%
4-1 @ 1.42%
4-2 @ 1.04%
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 36.85%
1-1 @ 11.56%
2-2 @ 6.08%
0-0 @ 5.49%
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.76%
1-2 @ 8.49%
0-1 @ 8.06%
0-2 @ 5.92%
1-3 @ 4.15%
2-3 @ 2.98%
0-3 @ 2.9%
1-4 @ 1.52%
2-4 @ 1.09%
0-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 38.39%

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