Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for Watford had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.
