Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 48.72%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 26.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
