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Premier League | Gameweek 2
Aug 22, 2021 at 2pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
MU

Southampton
1 - 1
Man Utd

Fred (30' og.)
Djenepo (51'), Stephens (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Greenwood (55')
Fernandes (31'), Maguire (76'), Pogba (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 53.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 22.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-0 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
SouthamptonDrawManchester United
22.54%23.72%53.75%
Both teams to score 53.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.28%47.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.08%69.92%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.46%35.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.69%72.31%
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.32%17.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.69%48.31%
Score Analysis
    Southampton 22.54%
    Manchester United 53.74%
    Draw 23.72%
SouthamptonDrawManchester United
1-0 @ 6.5%
2-1 @ 5.83%
2-0 @ 3.36%
3-1 @ 2.01%
3-2 @ 1.74%
3-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 22.54%
1-1 @ 11.26%
0-0 @ 6.28%
2-2 @ 5.05%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.72%
0-1 @ 10.88%
1-2 @ 9.76%
0-2 @ 9.43%
1-3 @ 5.64%
0-3 @ 5.45%
2-3 @ 2.92%
1-4 @ 2.44%
0-4 @ 2.36%
2-4 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 53.74%

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