Premier League | Gameweek 2

Aug 22, 2021 at 2pm UK

St Mary's Stadium

Southampton
1 - 1
Man Utd

Fred (30' og.)
Djenepo (51'), Stephens (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Greenwood (55')
Fernandes (31'), Maguire (76'), Pogba (90+1')

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Mason Greenwood lavishes praise on "excellent" Paul Pogba

Greenwood bemoans 'two dropped points' against Southampton

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 53.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 22.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-0 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Manchester United
22.54%	23.72%	53.75%

Both teams to score 53.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.28%

47.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.08%

69.92%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.46%

35.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.69%

72.31%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.32%

17.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.69%

48.31%

Score Analysis

Southampton 22.54%

Manchester United 53.74%

Draw 23.72%

Southampton	Draw	Manchester United
1-0 @ 6.5% 2-1 @ 5.83% 2-0 @ 3.36% 3-1 @ 2.01% 3-2 @ 1.74% 3-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.94% Total : 22.54%	1-1 @ 11.26% 0-0 @ 6.28% 2-2 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.72%	0-1 @ 10.88% 1-2 @ 9.76% 0-2 @ 9.43% 1-3 @ 5.64% 0-3 @ 5.45% 2-3 @ 2.92% 1-4 @ 2.44% 0-4 @ 2.36% 2-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.6% Total : 53.74%