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A
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 7, 2021 at 12.45pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
E

Arouca
0 - 2
Estoril


Andres Caballero (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Filipe Russo Franco (4'), Meshino (90+6')
Gamboa (38'), Alexis Leite Figueira (57'), Geraldes (89')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 41.79%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 29.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 2-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
AroucaDrawEstoril Praia
41.79%29.19%29.02%
Both teams to score 42.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.5%63.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.17%82.83%
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.97%30.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.85%66.15%
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.37%38.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.62%75.38%
Score Analysis
    Arouca 41.78%
    Estoril Praia 29.02%
    Draw 29.19%
AroucaDrawEstoril Praia
1-0 @ 13.95%
2-0 @ 8.4%
2-1 @ 7.99%
3-0 @ 3.37%
3-1 @ 3.2%
3-2 @ 1.52%
4-0 @ 1.01%
4-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 41.78%
1-1 @ 13.27%
0-0 @ 11.6%
2-2 @ 3.8%
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.19%
0-1 @ 11.03%
1-2 @ 6.31%
0-2 @ 5.25%
1-3 @ 2%
0-3 @ 1.66%
2-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 29.02%

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