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B
Taca de Portugal | Semi-Finals
Mar 4, 2021 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio da Luz
E

Benfica
2 - 0
Estoril

Ramos (43'), Waldschmidt (90')
Tavares (29'), Pizzi (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Thierry Lazare (15')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 75.57%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 8.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.33%) and 3-0 (10.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (3.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Benfica in this match.

Result
BenficaDrawEstoril Praia
75.57%16.18%8.25%
Both teams to score 41.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.11%43.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.71%66.28%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.09%9.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.18%32.82%
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.15%53.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.82%87.18%
Score Analysis
    Benfica 75.55%
    Estoril Praia 8.25%
    Draw 16.18%
BenficaDrawEstoril Praia
2-0 @ 14.26%
1-0 @ 12.33%
3-0 @ 10.98%
2-1 @ 8.83%
3-1 @ 6.8%
4-0 @ 6.35%
4-1 @ 3.93%
5-0 @ 2.94%
3-2 @ 2.11%
5-1 @ 1.82%
4-2 @ 1.22%
6-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 75.55%
1-1 @ 7.64%
0-0 @ 5.34%
2-2 @ 2.73%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 16.18%
0-1 @ 3.3%
1-2 @ 2.36%
0-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 8.25%

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