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Sunday, March 16
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A
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
E

Arouca
1 - 0
Estoril

Sylla (13')
Seabra (35')
LIVE
62'

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AVS 0-1 Arouca
Saturday, March 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 2-2 Farense
Saturday, March 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We say: Arouca 2-2 Estoril Praia

After a turbulent first half of the season, Arouca have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks and will be looking to secure back-to-back victories for the second time this year. However, Estoril have proven tough to crack in recent weeks and we predict that they will do just enough to force a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arouca win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Estoril Praia has a probability of 31.59% and a draw has a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win is 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.14%).

Result
AroucaDrawEstoril Praia
42.82% (-0.71299999999999 -0.71) 25.59% (0.158 0.16) 31.59% (0.561 0.56)
Both teams to score 54.5% (-0.262 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.66% (-0.453 -0.45)49.34% (0.459 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.61% (-0.408 -0.41)71.39% (0.416 0.42)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.07% (-0.53100000000001 -0.53)22.93% (0.538 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.3% (-0.792 -0.79)56.7% (0.799 0.8)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.72% (0.151 0.15)29.28% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.75% (0.183 0.18)65.25% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 42.82%
    Estoril Praia 31.59%
    Draw 25.58%
AroucaDrawEstoril Praia
1-0 @ 9.89% (0.028 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 7.28% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-1 @ 4.39% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.57% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 42.82%
1-1 @ 12.14% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.71% (0.125 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 8.25% (0.186 0.19)
1-2 @ 7.46% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 5.07% (0.134 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.05% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.07% (0.063 0.06)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 31.59%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: AVS 0-1 Arouca
Saturday, March 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-2 Porto
Saturday, March 1 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 2-2 Farense
Sunday, February 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-2 Arouca
Saturday, February 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 1-1 Rio Ave
Monday, February 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Nacional 1-2 Arouca
Saturday, February 1 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 2-2 Farense
Saturday, March 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Estoril
Monday, March 3 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 2-1 Rio Ave
Saturday, February 22 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Nacional 2-2 Estoril
Saturday, February 15 at 5pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 2-1 Boavista
Sunday, February 9 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-2 Estoril
Saturday, February 1 at 6pm in Primeira Liga


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