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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2021 at 7pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
FL

Arouca
2 - 1
Famalicao

Basso (66' pen.), Miguel Pereira Da Silva (89')
Manuel da Silva Moreira (57'), Miguel Pereira Da Silva (77'), Correa dos Santos (90+2'), Filipe Alves Araujo (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rodrigues (23')
Jose Gomes Oliveira Tavares (31'), Batubinsika (47'), Miguel Lapa Ricardo (79'), Assuncao (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
AroucaDrawFamalicao
34.03%28.42%37.55%
Both teams to score 46.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.14%59.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.87%80.12%
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.03%32.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.45%69.54%
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.3%30.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.04%66.96%
Score Analysis
    Arouca 34.03%
    Famalicao 37.55%
    Draw 28.41%
AroucaDrawFamalicao
1-0 @ 11.23%
2-1 @ 7.36%
2-0 @ 6.23%
3-1 @ 2.72%
3-0 @ 2.31%
3-2 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 34.03%
1-1 @ 13.26%
0-0 @ 10.12%
2-2 @ 4.35%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.41%
0-1 @ 11.95%
1-2 @ 7.83%
0-2 @ 7.06%
1-3 @ 3.08%
0-3 @ 2.78%
2-3 @ 1.71%
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 37.55%

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