Arouca
2 - 1
Famalicao

Basso (66' pen.), Miguel Pereira Da Silva (89')
Manuel da Silva Moreira (57'), Miguel Pereira Da Silva (77'), Correa dos Santos (90+2'), Filipe Alves Araujo (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Rodrigues (23')
Jose Gomes Oliveira Tavares (31'), Batubinsika (47'), Miguel Lapa Ricardo (79'), Assuncao (90+3')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Arouca	Draw	Famalicao
34.03%	28.42%	37.55%

Both teams to score 46.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.14%

59.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.87%

80.12%

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.03%

32.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.45%

69.54%

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.3%

30.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.04%

66.96%

Score Analysis

Arouca 34.03%

Famalicao 37.55%

Draw 28.41%

Arouca	Draw	Famalicao
1-0 @ 11.23% 2-1 @ 7.36% 2-0 @ 6.23% 3-1 @ 2.72% 3-0 @ 2.31% 3-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.58% Total : 34.03%	1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 10.12% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.41%	0-1 @ 11.95% 1-2 @ 7.83% 0-2 @ 7.06% 1-3 @ 3.08% 0-3 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 1.71% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.23% Total : 37.55%