Benfica
2 - 0
Arouca

Waldschmidt (38'), Yaremchuk (44')
Rodrigues (85')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Hugo Silva Braga (8')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 61.92%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 15.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Arouca
61.92%	22.11%	15.97%

Both teams to score 47.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.87%

50.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.9%

72.1%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.32%

15.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.28%

44.72%

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.76%

44.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.68%

80.32%

Score Analysis

Benfica 61.91%

Arouca 15.97%

Draw 22.11%

Benfica	Draw	Arouca
1-0 @ 12.84% 2-0 @ 11.9% 2-1 @ 9.71% 3-0 @ 7.35% 3-1 @ 6% 4-0 @ 3.41% 4-1 @ 2.78% 3-2 @ 2.45% 5-0 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 1.13% 5-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.04% Total : 61.91%	1-1 @ 10.48% 0-0 @ 6.93% 2-2 @ 3.96% Other @ 0.73% Total : 22.11%	0-1 @ 5.66% 1-2 @ 4.27% 0-2 @ 2.31% 1-3 @ 1.16% 2-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.5% Total : 15.97%