SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 65.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 13.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.72%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Belenenses |
| 65.99% | 20.57% | 13.44% |
| Both teams to score 45.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.25% | 48.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.15% | 70.85% |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.06% | 13.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.61% | 41.39% |
| Belenenses Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.97% | 47.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.49% | 82.51% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Belenenses |
| 1-0 @ 12.91% 2-0 @ 12.72% 2-1 @ 9.6% 3-0 @ 8.36% 3-1 @ 6.31% 4-0 @ 4.12% 4-1 @ 3.11% 3-2 @ 2.38% 5-0 @ 1.62% 5-1 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.45% Total : 65.98% | 1-1 @ 9.74% 0-0 @ 6.55% 2-2 @ 3.62% Other @ 0.66% Total : 20.57% | 0-1 @ 4.94% 1-2 @ 3.68% 0-2 @ 1.87% 1-3 @ 0.92% 2-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.12% Total : 13.44% |
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