Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 1-0 (10.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.