Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 11.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.49%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.