Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 59.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 17.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.