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Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 4, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal
L

Braga
4 - 2
Ludogorets

Elmusrati (25'), Medeiros (37'), Galeno (40'), Gonzalez (73')
Castro (27')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Soteriou (33'), Plastun (79')
Cafumana (38'), Plastun (80')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 58.75%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 16.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.88%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Ludogorets Razgrad win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawLudogorets Razgrad
58.75%25.07%16.18%
Both teams to score 39.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.62%60.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.47%80.52%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.39%20.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.85%53.15%
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.89%50.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.27%84.73%
Score Analysis
    Braga 58.75%
    Ludogorets Razgrad 16.18%
    Draw 25.07%
BragaDrawLudogorets Razgrad
1-0 @ 16.3%
2-0 @ 12.88%
2-1 @ 8.9%
3-0 @ 6.78%
3-1 @ 4.69%
4-0 @ 2.68%
4-1 @ 1.85%
3-2 @ 1.62%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 58.75%
1-1 @ 11.27%
0-0 @ 10.32%
2-2 @ 3.08%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 7.13%
1-2 @ 3.89%
0-2 @ 2.47%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 16.18%

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