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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Feb 4, 2021 at 9pm UK
Estadio Municipal
P

Braga
2 - 1
Portimonense

Piazon (62'), Horta (73' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Boa Morte (23')
Ewerton (60'), Henrique (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 67.78%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 12.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.26%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawPortimonense
67.78%19.99%12.23%
Both teams to score 44.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.01%48.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.92%71.08%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.53%13.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.53%40.47%
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.86%49.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.95%84.05%
Score Analysis
    Braga 67.77%
    Portimonense 12.23%
    Draw 19.99%
BragaDrawPortimonense
2-0 @ 13.3%
1-0 @ 13.26%
2-1 @ 9.45%
3-0 @ 8.89%
3-1 @ 6.32%
4-0 @ 4.46%
4-1 @ 3.17%
3-2 @ 2.24%
5-0 @ 1.79%
5-1 @ 1.27%
4-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 67.77%
1-1 @ 9.43%
0-0 @ 6.62%
2-2 @ 3.36%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 19.99%
0-1 @ 4.7%
1-2 @ 3.35%
0-2 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 12.23%

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