Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 61.69%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 15.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Braga in this match.
