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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Dec 29, 2020 at 6pm UK
Estádio da Luz
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Benfica
2 - 1
Portimonense

Nunez (13'), Silva (23')
Otamendi (40'), Waldschmidt (59'), Taarabt (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Gilberto (90+2' og.)
Cande (30'), Willyan (34'), Moufi (54'), Beto (76')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 77.85%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 8.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.43%) and 1-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.63%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (2.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawPortimonense
77.85%14.07%8.07%
Both teams to score 48.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.78%34.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.88%56.12%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.9%7.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.13%25.87%
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.38%47.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.05%82.94%
Score Analysis
    Benfica 77.84%
    Portimonense 8.07%
    Draw 14.07%
BenficaDrawPortimonense
2-0 @ 11.82%
3-0 @ 10.43%
1-0 @ 8.94%
2-1 @ 8.78%
3-1 @ 7.74%
4-0 @ 6.9%
4-1 @ 5.12%
5-0 @ 3.65%
3-2 @ 2.87%
5-1 @ 2.71%
4-2 @ 1.9%
6-0 @ 1.61%
6-1 @ 1.2%
5-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 77.84%
1-1 @ 6.63%
0-0 @ 3.38%
2-2 @ 3.26%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 14.07%
0-1 @ 2.51%
1-2 @ 2.46%
0-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 8.07%

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