Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 52.83%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 21.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.38%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
