MX23RW : Saturday, April 27 13:12:09
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Saturday, April 27
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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Jan 4, 2021 at 9.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal
FL

Portimonense
2 - 0
Farense

Beto (72', 90+2')
Willyan (55'), Luquinhas (68'), Dener (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Stojiljkovic (45+2'), Pinto (57')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.

Result
PortimonenseDrawSC Farense
44.95%27.09%27.95%
Both teams to score 48.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.18%56.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.24%77.75%
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.82%25.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.09%59.9%
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.17%35.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.4%72.6%
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 44.95%
    SC Farense 27.95%
    Draw 27.09%
PortimonenseDrawSC Farense
1-0 @ 12.44%
2-1 @ 8.81%
2-0 @ 8.58%
3-1 @ 4.05%
3-0 @ 3.94%
3-2 @ 2.08%
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-0 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 44.95%
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 9.02%
2-2 @ 4.52%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.09%
0-1 @ 9.26%
1-2 @ 6.55%
0-2 @ 4.75%
1-3 @ 2.24%
0-3 @ 1.63%
2-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 27.95%

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