We said: Estoril Praia 1-2 Boavista
Winless in each of their last nine games in all competitions, Boavista head into Sunday's game in dire need of a morale-boosting win as they risk dropping into the relegation places. However, we predict they will take the positives from their fine display against Benfica and come away with all three points against a floundering Estoril Praia side.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
