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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 20, 2022 at 6pm UK
 
E

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 0
Estoril

Goncalves (40'), Reis (76'), Sarabia (81')
Sarabia (50'), Porro (50'), Reis (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ferraresi (45+2'), Joaozinho (54'), Acevedo (86')
Silva (64')

We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Estoril Praia

Sporting Lisbon will be looking to restore some pride following their humbling defeat at the hands of Manchester City. While Estoril Praia will be looking to build on their win over Tondela, we are backing the Leoes to come away with a comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 57.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 19.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawEstoril Praia
57.51%22.75%19.74%
Both teams to score 52.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.96%47.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.72%69.28%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.91%16.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.51%45.49%
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.07%37.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.3%74.71%
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 57.5%
    Estoril Praia 19.74%
    Draw 22.75%
Sporting LisbonDrawEstoril Praia
1-0 @ 11.15%
2-0 @ 10.18%
2-1 @ 9.87%
3-0 @ 6.2%
3-1 @ 6.01%
3-2 @ 2.91%
4-0 @ 2.83%
4-1 @ 2.75%
4-2 @ 1.33%
5-0 @ 1.04%
5-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 57.5%
1-1 @ 10.81%
0-0 @ 6.11%
2-2 @ 4.79%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.75%
0-1 @ 5.92%
1-2 @ 5.24%
0-2 @ 2.87%
1-3 @ 1.69%
2-3 @ 1.55%
0-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 19.74%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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