We said: Maritimo 2-1 Estoril Praia
Estoril Praia are yet to pick up their first win this year, losing three and claiming one draw in four outings. Despite Maritimo's defeat last time out, they head into the game in fine form, claiming 10 points the last 15 available. We are tipping Maritimo to end their poor run in this fixture and come away with all three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 36.55%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 1-0 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
