SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Vizela |
39.73% ( 0.29) | 27.32% ( -0.07) | 32.95% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 49.48% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.01% ( 0.23) | 55.99% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.92% ( 0.18) | 77.08% ( -0.18) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.46% ( 0.27) | 27.55% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.94% ( 0.35) | 63.06% ( -0.35) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.29% ( -0.03) | 31.72% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.86% ( -0.03) | 68.14% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Vizela |
| 1-0 @ 11.26% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.94% Total : 39.73% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.32% | 0-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.94% |
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