SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Boavista |
28.28% ( -0.01) | 26.94% ( -0.04) | 44.77% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 48.65% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.9% ( 0.14) | 56.1% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.82% ( 0.11) | 77.17% ( -0.12) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.82% ( 0.06) | 35.17% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.07% ( 0.07) | 71.92% ( -0.07) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.05% ( 0.08) | 24.94% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.42% ( 0.12) | 59.57% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.65% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.32% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.67% 3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.09% Total : 28.29% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.46% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.37% Total : 44.77% |
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