SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Chaves |
39.72% ( -0.13) | 26.56% ( 0.06) | 33.71% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.04% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.18% ( -0.24) | 52.81% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.56% ( -0.2) | 74.44% ( 0.2) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.93% ( -0.18) | 26.07% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.88% ( -0.24) | 61.11% ( 0.24) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.38% ( -0.08) | 29.61% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.35% ( -0.1) | 65.65% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | Chaves |
| 1-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.98% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 39.72% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.69% 0-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 33.72% |
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