SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
31.34% ( -0) | 28.92% ( 0.03) | 39.73% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 44.48% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.98% ( -0.1) | 62.02% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.25% ( -0.07) | 81.75% ( 0.07) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.98% ( -0.06) | 36.02% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.2% ( -0.06) | 72.8% ( 0.05) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.52% ( -0.07) | 30.48% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.31% ( -0.08) | 66.69% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.72% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.95% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.97% Total : 31.34% | 1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.91% | 0-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.75% 1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.38% Total : 39.73% |
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