Estoril Praia appear to have found their rhythm on home turf, claiming two wins from their last three home games after picking up just one from the previous 10. However, we expect Vizela to fly out of the blocks in search of all three points as they look to end their winless run. We predict the spoils will be shared once again with both sides settling for a point apiece.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
