Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 53.11%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 21.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.2%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
