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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 25, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal
SL

Braga
0 - 1
Sporting Lisbon


Fransergio (17'), Gaitan (64'), Horta (78'), Esgaio (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nunes (81')
Inacio (10'), Tomas (77'), Goncalves (90+5'), Adan (90+6')
Inacio (18')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Braga had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.

Result
BragaDrawSporting Lisbon
31.88%25.78%42.34%
Both teams to score 54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.95%50.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.97%72.02%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.56%29.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.56%65.44%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.52%23.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.5%57.49%
Score Analysis
    Braga 31.88%
    Sporting Lisbon 42.33%
    Draw 25.77%
BragaDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 8.45%
2-1 @ 7.49%
2-0 @ 5.17%
3-1 @ 3.05%
3-2 @ 2.21%
3-0 @ 2.11%
4-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 31.88%
1-1 @ 12.24%
0-0 @ 6.91%
2-2 @ 5.43%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 10.01%
1-2 @ 8.88%
0-2 @ 7.26%
1-3 @ 4.29%
0-3 @ 3.51%
2-3 @ 2.62%
1-4 @ 1.55%
0-4 @ 1.27%
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2%
Total : 42.33%

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