SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Braga had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 31.88% | 25.78% | 42.34% |
| Both teams to score 54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.95% | 50.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.97% | 72.02% |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.56% | 29.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.56% | 65.44% |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.52% | 23.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.5% | 57.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 8.45% 2-1 @ 7.49% 2-0 @ 5.17% 3-1 @ 3.05% 3-2 @ 2.21% 3-0 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.47% Total : 31.88% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 6.91% 2-2 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 10.01% 1-2 @ 8.88% 0-2 @ 7.26% 1-3 @ 4.29% 0-3 @ 3.51% 2-3 @ 2.62% 1-4 @ 1.55% 0-4 @ 1.27% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2% Total : 42.33% |
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