Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 77.43%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 6.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.39%) and 3-0 (11.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.21%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
