Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
