Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 53.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 20.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.1%) and 1-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
