Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Braga had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Braga win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
