Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 46.33%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 24.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.86%) and 1-2 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
