SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 46.33%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 24.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.86%) and 1-2 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maritimo | Draw | Famalicao |
| 24.36% | 29.31% | 46.33% |
| Both teams to score 39.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.12% | 65.88% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.5% | 84.5% |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.89% | 44.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.79% | 80.21% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.28% | 28.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.44% | 64.55% |
| Score Analysis |
| Maritimo | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 10.37% 2-1 @ 5.29% 2-0 @ 4.24% 3-1 @ 1.45% 3-0 @ 1.16% 3-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.36% | 1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 12.66% 2-2 @ 3.3% Other @ 0.4% Total : 29.29% | 0-1 @ 15.8% 0-2 @ 9.86% 1-2 @ 8.07% 0-3 @ 4.1% 1-3 @ 3.36% 2-3 @ 1.37% 0-4 @ 1.28% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.45% Total : 46.33% |
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