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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20
Feb 22, 2021 at 7pm UK
Estadio dos Barreiros
P

Maritimo
1 - 2
Porto

Andrade (18')
Hermes (32'), Joel (69'), Pelagio (71'), Jean (86'), Abedzadeh (87'), Junior (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Uribe (14'), Otavio (90+3' pen.)
Manafa (32'), Marchesin (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 68.53%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 11.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.56%) and 0-3 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
MaritimoDrawPorto
11.07%20.4%68.53%
Both teams to score 39.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.72%53.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.17%74.83%
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.12%53.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.8%87.2%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.41%14.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.33%42.67%
Score Analysis
    Maritimo 11.07%
    Porto 68.52%
    Draw 20.4%
MaritimoDrawPorto
1-0 @ 4.86%
2-1 @ 2.89%
2-0 @ 1.5%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 11.07%
1-1 @ 9.36%
0-0 @ 7.86%
2-2 @ 2.79%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 20.4%
0-1 @ 15.12%
0-2 @ 14.56%
0-3 @ 9.34%
1-2 @ 9.01%
1-3 @ 5.78%
0-4 @ 4.5%
1-4 @ 2.78%
2-3 @ 1.79%
0-5 @ 1.73%
1-5 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 68.52%

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