Nacional
1 - 2
Maritimo

Gorre (44')
Bessa (70'), Kal (74'), Gorre (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pinho (58', 65')
Pinho (69'), Costa (90'), Abedzadeh (90+3'), Sassa (90+4')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 36.96%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.61%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (11.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maritimo would win this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Maritimo
34.07%	28.97%	36.96%

Both teams to score 44.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.24%

61.76%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.44%

81.56%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.06%

33.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.39%

70.61%

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.96%

32.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.5%

68.5%

Score Analysis

Nacional 34.06%

Maritimo 36.96%

Draw 28.96%

Nacional	Draw	Maritimo
1-0 @ 11.74% 2-1 @ 7.23% 2-0 @ 6.35% 3-1 @ 2.6% 3-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.38% Total : 34.06%	1-1 @ 13.37% 0-0 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 4.11% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.96%	0-1 @ 12.37% 1-2 @ 7.61% 0-2 @ 7.04% 1-3 @ 2.89% 0-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.81% Total : 36.96%